Can Solana (SOL) Rally Push Beyond Pre-FTX Levels or is It a Bear Trap?
Solana price has broken a three-week rising trend, thus questioning the momentum to push beyond pre-FTX levels. According to our latest crypto price oracles, Solana’s price has dropped approximately 5.4 percent in the past 24 hours to trade around $23.22 today. After rallying over 100 percent in the past three weeks, the Solana bears are slowly taking control.
Consequently, a possible retrace could push Solana’s price to around $15, where the digital asset may find temporary solace. Moreover, the 200 MA in 4-H has risen to this level. Additionally, the RSI shows an overbought asset with a falling divergence, which indicates an imminent price fall. Perhaps the asset is forming a head and shoulder on the lower time frames, which could lead to psychological sell pressure.
Whether the bulls defend the rising trend in the coming weeks or not, the ultimate decision is likely to be affected by the Bitcoin market sentiment. Moreover, the January 2023 cryptocurrency rally has significantly been affected by Bitcoin price.
Solana Fundamental Aspects Shows More Pain Ahead
The Solana ecosystem has grown to a top 20 project by market capitalization due to its huge backing from whale investors. However, the network activity has significantly declined in the past year fueled by the FTX collapse. According to statistics from the token terminal, as shown below, Solana’s weekly active users have been declining in each subsequent quarterly since 2022.
Additionally, the total value locked (TVL) in the Solana ecosystem has significantly reduced since late 2021. The Solana TVL has moved from over $11 billion to about $270 million today.
Nonetheless, the Solana developers are hard at work building DeFi projects to be shipped out through the Saga mobile App Store.